The Speakers of 2009

Our Speakers


Joi Ito, in case you don't know him, is the CEO of Creative Commons. I've already written about Joi and Creative Commons on this blog. A few days ago, he gave a speech at the DLD conference in Munich (see video above) about the sharing economy. We call it Share Economy, but the difference is only semantical.

I just want to highlight on of his points. According to Joi, there is a kind of gradual scale in media usage habits that ranges from consumption on one end via interaction and participation to expression on the other. The classical mass media model was designed around the notion of consumption by the masses, while expression was the privilege of only a few people who got even paid to express themselves.

This has pretty much changed with the advent of the Internet. And for this new world of consumer interaction, participation and expression the institution of copyright has become the main friction and a problem Creative Commons promises to solve. Watch!

Update: Joi has uploaded his slides from DLD to slideshare. See below.

View more presentations from Joi Ito. (tags: joiito dld2009)

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The last 24 hours saw two important annoucements for the German social media sphere. First was Mark Zuckerberg, surprise guest at Burda's DLD conference in Munich, who officially declared that Facebook now has 2 million active users in Germany. Not bad, given that he counted just 1.26 million last October and only half a million one year ago.

In his appearance on the DLD stage, Mark used the word "share" one billion times. Thanks Mark, this was our way to gain mind share for the next conference at DLD! Next time, we'll try it with the whole phrase. Repeat after me: Share Economy. Ok?

The second announcement was Markus Berger-de León, who was appointed as the new CEO of StudiVZ (which also runs SchülerVZ and MeinVZ). Apparently, nobody liked this job, so StudiVZ's owner Holtzbrinck was forced to find a manager within their own realm. Markus so far runs Abacho and MyHammer, both subsidiaries of Holtzbrinck.

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So let's have a look at the Google Trends chart above. It clearly indicates that StudiVZ (red line) has lost momentum. Search volume is essentially flat with a tendency downwards - the same pattern we've already seen for MySpace (yellow). To my surprise, even wer-kennt-wen (green) seems to already have passed its zenit.

The only player left with an exponential growth curve in the German market now is Facebook. Chapeau!

Photo: Netzökonom

Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly did us a great favor and wrote an essay Mark or myself should have written some months ago (if we could). According to the title of Kelly's essay, sharing is Better Than Owning.

Kevin Kelly, in case you don't know him, is Senior Maverick at Wired magazine and author of the best-selling New Rules for the New Economy. He wrote this book in 1998, and I think many copies went to the trash bin after the bubble burst a few years later. Anyway, in his latest essay Kelly spells out some basic rules of the Share Economy, as we call it.

As creations become digital they tend to become shared, ownerless goods. We can turn this around and say that in this realm of bits, property itself becomes a more social endeavor. Property may be less about title and more about usage and control. An idea can't be owned in the way gold can; in fact an idea has little value unless it is shared or used to some extent. Its value paradoxically can increase the less it is owned privately. But if no one owns it, who gains the benefit of that increase in value? In the new regime users will often assume many of the chores that owners once had to do. And so in a way, usage becomes ownership.

According to the principle of dematerialization, all goods are having their atoms infused with bits, decreasing their weight per performance, so that all material goods increasingly behave as if they were intangible services. This means that lumber, steel, chemicals, food, cars, plane flights - everything made - can also be governed by the principles of intangible goods (see the New Rules of the New Economy). As goods become disembodied, infused with slivers of mind, and packed full of bits, they will also obey the new dynamics of property. Soon enough everything manufactured will potentially become social property.

As cars become more "electronic" or digital, they will tend to be swapped and shared and used in a social way. The more we embed intelligence and smarts into clothing the more we'll treat these articles as common property. We'll share aspects of them (perhaps what they are made of, where they are, what climate they see), which means that we'll think of ourselves as sharing them. [...]

Sharing is not very different from renting. We could say that the sharing economy currently emerging from social media is really a renting economy. [...]

What Kelly calls "sharing economy" is merely the same thing that we call Share Economy for the purpose of conference motto. In fact, we had some discussions whether "sharing economy" would be the better term, but in the end we stuck with Share Economy.

It's important to note the difference between renting physical goods and digital, intangible goods. That's exactly what the music industry didn't understand for ages and still doesn't fully understand.

The downside to the traditional rental business is the "rival" nature of physical goods. Rival means that there is a zero-sum game; only one rival prevails. If I am renting your boat, no one else can. If I rent a bag to you, I cannot rent the same bag to another. To scale your rental business you have to buy more boats or bags. But of course, intangible goods and services don't work this way. They are "non-rival" which means you can rent the same movie to as many people who want to rent it this hour. Sharing intangibles scales magnificently. This ability to share on a large scale without diminishing the satisfaction of the individual renter is transformative. The total cost of use drops precipitously (shared by millions instead of one). Suddenly, ownership is not so important. Why own, when you get the same utility from renting, leasing, licensing, sharing?

But more importantly why even possess it? Why take charge of it at all if you have instant, constant, durable, full access to it? If you lived inside of the world's largest rental store, why would you own anything? If you can borrow anything you needed without possessing it, you gain the same benefits with fewer disadvantages. If this was a magic rental store, where most of the gear was stored "downstairs" in a virtual basement, then whenever you summoned an item or service it would appear at your command.

The internet is this magic rental store. [...]

Access is so superior to ownership, or possession, that it will drive the emerging intangible economy. The chief holdup to full-scale conversion from ownership to omni-access is the issue of modification and control. In traditional property regimes only owners have the right to modify or control the use of the property. The right of modification is not transferred in rental, leasing, or licensing agreements. But they are transferred in open source content and tools, which is part of their great attraction in this new realm. The ability and right to improve, personalize, or appropriate what is shared will be a key ingredient in the advance of omni-access. But as the ability to modify is squeezed from classic ownership models (think of those silly shrink-wrap warranties), ownership is degraded.

The trend is clear: access trumps possession. Access is better than ownership.

I urge everyone who is even slightly interested in this topic to read Kevin's essay.

Hat Tip: Timo Heuer
Photo: pauliepaul

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We all love Burda's DLD conference which takes place for the fifth time on January 25-27, 2009 in Munich. Ever since it has been an inspiring kick-off for the year, setting the agenda of the digerati as much as Davos shapes the agenda of the world's political and economic leaders.

But like Davos, DLD is an invitation-only conference, making it difficult to attend for many people who would like to. The venue is quite small and limits the number of attendees. We had the same issue last year with next08 and decided to switch the location for this year. This means the next conference will scale much better.

And therefore we have a special limited offer for you: Buy your next09 ticket on January 25-27, 2009 and save 20 per cent! Use the special discount code DLD09 in honour of Burda's great conference - and let's all have another great conference in May.

Save your ticket and register with the discount code DLD09, which is valid from January 25-27, 2009 only. Spread the word!

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The run on our Call for Participation is overwhelming and we're happy to already count more than a hundred proposals!

A lot of you have been asking to hand in their proposal later. Due to this fact we're extending our deadline at least until Friday, January 30th. Our Advisory Board will start off now reviewing and evaluating your suggestions.

Hence, it was of course no disadvantage to submit your proposal in time because we're working with the first come, first serve principal. Any proposal that have been submitted in the first round will be in advantage towards late comers. Nevertheless, the outstanding exception amongst these proves the rule.

We're looking forward to more of your speaker suggestions and start-up proposals! Please note that all submissions have to be made in English.

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The location is set. The motto Share Economy is set. And today we would like to share with you our already high profiled speakers list of next09.

More than thirty prominent speakers have committed to present at next09. Jyri Engeström, Product Manager at Google, Matthias Lüfkens, Associate Director Media at the World Economic Forum, Stafford Green, Head of Digital Europe at Coca-Cola, Steve Rubel, Web 2.0 Evangelist at Edelman, Charlie Schick, Editor-in-Chief at Nokia Conversations, Brian Solis of Future Works or Katarina Skoberne, the Co-Founder of OpenAd can be counted to our speakers list.

Brands like BMW, Pepsi, Jägermeister, T-Mobile, SAP and agencies like Crispin Porter & Bogusky or Sapient Interactive will shape the conference.

The first steps towards an excellent programme in May are made. Nevertheless, we are still looking for your ideas to be shared with us! Submit your speaker or start-up proposals to the Call for Participation today!

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112 days to go to the fourth next conference in May. 4 more days to go for you to share your ideas with us!

Our Call for Participation is going into its last week. We are looking for innovative ideas, which you would like to present or you know of, that should not be missing at next09.

Speaker suggestions or start-up proposals are welcome. We've collected everything you need to know around our main theme, the key topics, sponsored sessions and session formats.

Deadline for all applications is Friday, January 30th.

Note: The second round of the Call for Participation is now offically closed. Any proposals submitted after January 30th will be on our waiting list.

The new year is already one week old, and the Christmas break is over. Time to post some predictions for 2009.

  1. As brands struggle in a difficult economy, some of them will open up, listen to and talk with the consumer.
  2. Brands and big corporations will shift marketing budgets online, since the Internet is now by far the most efficient marketing channel.
  3. In 2009, performance marketing (SEM, affiliate) revenue in Germany will beat classical display online advertising. Even display advertising will be billed more and more by perfomance rather than by CPM.
  4. The new media service ranking top ten will get re-sorted. But even more interesting is next year's ranking, based on revenues in 2009.
  5. Print will increasingly be under pressure. In the US, some major newspapers will reduce their print editions or even stop the presses. In Germany, mostly the publishing houses' staff will be cut. There is no way to generate enough money on the web for them to retain their usual headcount.
  6. Old Media will aquire blogs, even in Germany, to gain awareness. Problem: There aren't many professionally run blogs in Germany.
  7. Holtzbrinck will try really hard to get the money back they invested in StudiVZ. GWP is not able to sell advertising on StudiVZ and will be replaced. It's too late now to sell StudiVZ to Facebook. In the end, we will see a distress sale.
  8. Cloud computing will take off. Both in buzzwording and usage.

What do you think?

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The location Kampnagel is easy to reach via puplic transportation. Taking the subway line U3, direction Barmbek, you can disembark at Borgweg with a 10 minute walk to Kampnagel. Alternatively you can disembark at Saarlandstraße in order to take the bus 172 or 173 into direction Mundsburger Brücke. Getting off at Jarresstraße you arrive directly at Kampnagel. A walk from this subway station will take you about 15 minutes. Please check out Geofox for further travelling information or details.

A taxi ride from the airport to Kampnagel will expense approximately 15 Euro and from the main train station around 12 Euro.

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